Global Weather Machine
- By Mark Hoover
- Posted 10.13.98
- NOVA
We live in an ocean of air, seething and flowing around us,
changing-sometimes violently-every day. In the heart of this swirling
machinery of rain clouds and jetstreams, hot desert winds and frozen
arctic storms, there is one constant: change. A trillion and a half days
have passed since the Earth was born in a spinning disk of stardust,
and no two of those days have ever had the same weather.
This NASA image of wind patterns over the Pacific Ocean gives a sense of the dynamism of global weather. Enlarge
Photo credit: NASA
what is weather?
Driven by the heat of the sun, weather is an interlocking system of
cycles. Water evaporates, rises, cools, and falls as rain, only to
evaporate once again. The sun rises and sets every day, with the air
warming and cooling in response, and the cycle endlessly repeating. Low
pressure systems suck high pressure systems into their vacuum, creating
spinning masses of wind and clouds bigger than Texas; these cyclones are
swept across the skies by persistent high-speed winds miles up in the
atmosphere, rivers of air in a relentless race around the globe.
Weather, in all its cycles and clashes, arises from a simple fact: the
sun heats some parts of the Earth more than others.
Because the Earth is a globe, and not a flat board, the sun shines
almost straight down on the tropics, baking them every day of the year.
But at the poles, the angle is small and the sun's rays are weak, and
the poles are therefore cold. Nature "abhors" this imbalance, and tries
to fix it. As quickly as solar heat flows in to the tropics, it begins
flowing out toward the poles, seeking to equalize the difference. The
unrelenting march of this energy-on-the-move, from high concentration to
low concentration, is the piston in the engine that propels weather.
When warm air leaves the tropics and heads toward the poles, cold air
from near the poles is sucked back toward the tropics. This exchange
sets up two-lane highways for air rushing to and from the tropics. These
highways of air are called convection cells, and they are the reason
wind blows.
The major surface wind bands of Earth. Each hemisphere is divided
into three belts. The path of a storm greatly depends upon the wind belt
in which it is located. The easterly (west-blowing) trade winds of both
hemispheres collide near the equator, in a region called the
Intertropical Convergence Zone (ICTZ). Enlarge
Photo credit: University of Illinois WW2010 Project
Air flowing back and forth in these great cells is pushed sideways by
the Earth's rotation, dragged by friction with the land and the sea, and
squeezed by gravity. All of these distortions cause turbulent mixing of
the winds, and soon lead to the organization of storm centers due to
unevenness between warm and cold. In particular, the sideways push given
the winds by the spinning of the planet-called the Coriolis
Effect-causes the constant convective flows to organize in bands, where
the flow direction varies according to latitude. These bands are
responsible for prevailing winds on the surface, and jetstreams high in
the atmosphere.
The ITCZ on this satellite image is the band of bright clouds located
just north of the equator. This zone is a prolific contributor of
storms and clouds to the world's weather. Enlarge
Photo credit: NASA
We can see these bands of wind clearly in Jupiter's atmosphere, because
Jupiter rotates at a furious pace, once every ten hours. We can also
see them clearly on Earth when we take a picture from far out in space.
As on Earth, Jupiter shows distinct wind bands generated by
convection and rotation forces. Scientists have measured wind speeds in
Jupiter's "Little Red Spot" reaching up to about 384 miles per
hour—twice as fast as the winds of a Category 5 hurricane. Enlarge
Photo credit: NASA
El Niño'S POWER
El Niño exploits this organization of winds into bands when it causes
major weather changes around the world. Specifically, El Niño can affect
the path of flow in these bands, and the cyclones that are ushered
across the surface by them are now delivered to different areas than
normal. Think of the wind bands—both at the surface and high in the
sky—as a tram, a streetcar on which storm systems hitch a ride as they
travel around the Earth. El Niño moves the tracks—the stormtracks—of
this tram. The answer to the puzzle of how this happens is literally
blowing in the wind.
How does El Niño take over such a huge system? It begins with an effect
due to the vastness of the Pacific Ocean itself, an effect intimately
related to the birth of an El Niño.
In the Pacific near the equator, the prevailing winds blow from east to
west, as cool air sinking from higher latitudes toward the equator gets
whipped sideways by the Coriolis force. We know these as the
tradewinds, which sailors of old could always depend upon to blow
steadily in the same direction.
In the tropical Pacific, these west-blowing tradewinds push steadily
against the sea for thousands of miles. The warm water on the surface is
literally blown sideways, and the water piles up in the west, creating a
pool thousands of miles across. This leads to a heat imbalance: as more
and more warm water is stripped from the east and moved west, cold
waters from deep in the ocean near South America are drawn up to take
its place. This cool water inhibits evaporation and the creation of rain
clouds in east, which is why the Galapagos Islands and the coast of
Peru are usually deserts.
The El Niño temperature anomaly of 1997-98 (appearing here as a red band in the Pacific Ocean) affected weather worldwide. Enlarge
Photo credit: NASA / Image by R.B. Husar, Washington
University; the land layer from the SeaWiFS Project; fire maps from the
European Space Agency; the sea surface temperature from the Naval
Oceanographic Office's
Just the opposite effect happens in the west, near Australia: intense
rain cloud formation occurs as warm moist air, heated by the warm sea,
rises and condenses into clouds. These clouds carry the drenching rains
of the monsoons upon which the entire region of Indonesia and Southeast
Asia depends. The huge volumes of rising warm air create a vacuum as
they move upward, which draws cooler air from the east to replace it,
strengthening the tradewinds and reinforcing the entire cycle. Another
two-lane convection highway is created, but instead of between the
equator and the poles, this one is between coastal South America and the
region of Australia.
Here's where it gets interesting, the crux of the mystery of El Niño.
This cycle should be self-perpetuating. But it's not. For unknown
reasons, every few years, something hidden in the machinery causes the
west-blowing tradewinds to slacken in the Pacific. The warm waters,
which have been held by the winds in a pile 5 feet above sea level in
the west, begin to flow back across the sea, drawn down by gravity, like
a river breaching a levee. This massive surge of heated water shoots
across the ocean and repositions itself near South America. East becomes
west. Because of the heated water, all of the rainmaking that normally
would happen in the west now happens in the east, and the convection
cell reverses flow, which means rising warm air in the east sucks in the
air from the west, and the tradewinds actually reverse their direction.
Because the water in the west is now comparatively cool, rainmaking
stops. The monsoons fail in Indonesia, but unending rains begin in Peru.
The Child has arrived.
In its new, temporary headquarters off South America, the warm pool's
heat again creates a huge mass of warm moist air, which bulges into the
zones of prevailing winds at the surface as well as high in the air.
Like a car dumped in a stream, this foreign obstruction creates ripples
and waves "downstream" in the vast air rivers that circulate the Earth.
These ripples cascade outward, pushing and disturbing the midlatitude
jetstreams which sweep weather across the temperate zones. Off the west
coast of North America, the bulging effect is pronounced. Pacific storms
which normally would remain in the tropics now have an open door to the
west coast, as the jet stream lurches north. California, Mexico, and
even British Columbia brace for an onslaught of winter rain.
When a very strong El Niño strikes surface waters in the equatorial
Pacific Ocean, warm water anomalies (red) develop in the Central
Pacific. Winds that normally blow in a westerly direction weaken,
allowing the easterly winds to push the warm water up against the South
American coast. Enlarge
Photo credit: NASA
After lurching north, the jet stream (like everything else in the
system) tries to compensate for its too-far north motion by diving
south, usually over the Rocky Mountains. It then snakes north again,
creating the classic El Niño pattern. Because the jet stream represents a
boundary between cold northern air and warm moist southern air,
meteorologists are able to make general predictions for weather in an El
Niño winter.
For starters, Pacific storms form farther east than usual. The
northward bulge of the jet stream then conducts these abnormal storms
into California and Mexico. Meanwhile, normal winter storms that would
otherwise be steered through Washington and Oregon now veer northward
toward the coast of Alaska, eventually being guided east into Canada.
The west coast gets drenched; the Canadian Rockies get record snowfalls.
By strengthening east-blowing winds in the Caribbean, El Niño also
creates a favorable environment for storms to develop in the Gulf of
Mexico, and the displaced jetstream lets these storms pass up into the
southeast of the United States. Florida and the southeastern states have
a cool, abnormally rainy winter. A similar strengthening of the
east-blowing winds in the Southern Hemisphere during its winter season
brings massive storms to southern Brazil, Chile and Argentina.
In the midwest and northeast, the jetstream's strange dip and rise
keeps colder Canadian air stuck in Canada, far north of its usual winter
position. Acting as a boundary between this cold northern air and mild
southern air, the displaced jetstream lets Chicago and New York enjoy a
relatively warm, if somewhat wet, winter.
Because the rain machine in the west stops working, southeast Asia and
Australia suffer devastating droughts. Meanwhile, North and South
America get drenched, because the rain machine in the east is working
overtime. Farther downstream in the great wind bands that circle the
globe, El Niño continues to create havoc. By using the bands of
prevailing winds as avenues along which to transmit its disruptive
waves, El Niño eventually influences weather in Africa, the North
Atlantic, even the Middle East. Teleconnected to distant regions by the
Earth's rivers of air, El Niño invades the global weather machine.
This feature originally appeared on the site for the NOVA program Tracking El Nino.
NASA, Newseum Present Media Preview Of PBS' Earth From Space
WASHINGTON
-- NASA and the Newseum will host a preview for news media of the
upcoming NOVA special, "Earth from Space," at noon EST Monday, Feb. 4,
at the Newseum, 555 Pennsylvania Ave. NW in Washington.
"Earth from Space" is scheduled to air nationwide at 9 p.m. EST Feb. 13 on Public Broadcasting Service television stations. The two-hour special explores how satellites are transforming our view of Earth and features interviews with scientists and new visualizations of our complex planet. The centerpiece of the program is an animation of the globe composed of 23 layers of satellite-based data and more than 125,000 images from space.
A question-and-answer session with scientists appearing in "Earth from Space" will follow the screening of the 20-minute preview. The panelists are:
-- Paula Apsell, senior executive producer, NOVA, and director of the WBGH science unit, Boston
-- Piers Sellers, deputy director, Sciences and Exploration Directorate, Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Md.
-- Waleed Abdalati, director, Earth Science and Observation Center, University of Colorado, Boulder
-- Jeff Halverson, associate professor, University of Maryland, Baltimore County
To attend, news media representatives must register in advance no later than Friday, Feb. 1, with Steve Cole by telephone at 202-358-0918 or by email at stephen.e.cole@nasa.gov.
NOVA is produced by WGBH. For more information on "Earth from Space," visit:
"Earth from Space" is scheduled to air nationwide at 9 p.m. EST Feb. 13 on Public Broadcasting Service television stations. The two-hour special explores how satellites are transforming our view of Earth and features interviews with scientists and new visualizations of our complex planet. The centerpiece of the program is an animation of the globe composed of 23 layers of satellite-based data and more than 125,000 images from space.
A question-and-answer session with scientists appearing in "Earth from Space" will follow the screening of the 20-minute preview. The panelists are:
-- Paula Apsell, senior executive producer, NOVA, and director of the WBGH science unit, Boston
-- Piers Sellers, deputy director, Sciences and Exploration Directorate, Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Md.
-- Waleed Abdalati, director, Earth Science and Observation Center, University of Colorado, Boulder
-- Jeff Halverson, associate professor, University of Maryland, Baltimore County
To attend, news media representatives must register in advance no later than Friday, Feb. 1, with Steve Cole by telephone at 202-358-0918 or by email at stephen.e.cole@nasa.gov.
NOVA is produced by WGBH. For more information on "Earth from Space," visit:
NASA
Guillermo Gonzalo Sánchez Achutegui
ayabaca@gmail.com
ayabaca@hotmail.com
ayabaca@yahoo.com
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